Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003626 0.003802 0.003983 0.004181 0.004392 0.004612 0.004858
2025-02-02 0.003393 0.003668 0.003960 0.004296 0.004672 0.005081 0.005564
2025-02-09 0.003154 0.003476 0.003828 0.004244 0.004725 0.005267 0.005927
2025-02-16 0.002999 0.003356 0.003756 0.004240 0.004814 0.005478 0.006314
2025-02-23 0.002861 0.003244 0.003680 0.004217 0.004869 0.005643 0.006642
2025-03-02 0.002780 0.003189 0.003663 0.004259 0.004997 0.005893 0.007081
2025-03-09 0.002668 0.003091 0.003588 0.004223 0.005022 0.006012 0.007356
2025-03-16 0.002567 0.003001 0.003517 0.004184 0.005039 0.006117 0.007611
2025-03-23 0.002462 0.002900 0.003426 0.004116 0.005013 0.006161 0.007784
2025-03-30 0.002368 0.002809 0.003344 0.004054 0.004988 0.006203 0.007952
2025-04-06 0.002314 0.002765 0.003319 0.004062 0.005054 0.006367 0.008294
2025-04-13 0.002196 0.002636 0.003180 0.003916 0.004909 0.006236 0.008210
2025-04-20 0.002151 0.002601 0.003163 0.003933 0.004985 0.006415 0.008586
2025-04-27 0.002146 0.002617 0.003212 0.004038 0.005186 0.006778 0.009255
2025-05-04 0.002080 0.002551 0.003150 0.003990 0.005172 0.006834 0.009465
2025-05-11 0.002035 0.002511 0.003122 0.003987 0.005219 0.006978 0.009816
2025-05-18 0.001987 0.002464 0.003082 0.003966 0.005239 0.007082 0.010107
2025-05-25 0.001963 0.002449 0.003085 0.004004 0.005346 0.007319 0.010626
2025-06-01 0.001914 0.002400 0.003039 0.003971 0.005345 0.007391 0.010877
2025-06-08 0.001867 0.002351 0.002993 0.003935 0.005339 0.007453 0.011114
2025-06-15 0.001813 0.002292 0.002930 0.003873 0.005289 0.007446 0.011230
2025-06-22 0.001763 0.002237 0.002871 0.003815 0.005245 0.007443 0.011353
2025-06-29 0.001738 0.002215 0.002858 0.003823 0.005300 0.007601 0.011767